Navigating the Volatile High Yield Bond Market in Q2 2025

Instructions

The second quarter of 2025 marked a period of significant change in market sentiment, driven by shifts in expectations regarding trade policies, inflation, and central bank monetary decisions. Our Seix High Yield Bond SMA delivered a strong performance, with a 2.62% gross return (1.99% net). Looking ahead to the second half of 2025, our strategy is firmly anchored in detailed credit analysis and a focus on high-quality assets within the high yield market. This disciplined approach is crucial for navigating potential market turbulence and achieving sustained growth.

Market Volatility and Performance in Q2 2025

The second quarter of 2025 was characterized by a dramatic shift in market sentiment, primarily influenced by evolving expectations surrounding trade policies, inflation, and central bank monetary decisions. This period saw a notable reversal in investor outlook, creating a dynamic environment for fixed-income markets. Despite the turbulence, the Seix High Yield Bond SMA demonstrated resilience and strategic positioning, achieving a commendable gross return of 2.62% (1.99% net) during this quarter.

The quarter began with significant unrest following an event on April 2nd, which was referred to as \"Liberation.\" This initial shock caused considerable market volatility, leading to widespread investor caution. However, as the quarter progressed, new information and developments around global trade agreements, inflation data, and central bank communications provided a clearer, albeit still complex, picture. These shifting expectations ultimately led to a dramatic turnaround in sentiment, highlighting the market's sensitivity to macroeconomic factors and policy announcements.

Strategic Focus for the Second Half of 2025

As we transition into the latter half of 2025, our investment strategy remains steadfastly focused on rigorous credit analysis and a selective approach to the high yield bond market. Our primary objective is to identify and invest in the higher-quality segments of this market, which we believe offer a more favorable risk-reward profile amidst ongoing economic uncertainties.

Our strategy emphasizes a thorough evaluation of individual credits, focusing on fundamental strength, robust balance sheets, and sustainable business models. This meticulous approach aims to mitigate potential downside risks while capturing attractive yield opportunities. We remain vigilant in monitoring macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical developments, and policy changes that could impact the high yield landscape, ensuring our portfolio is adaptively positioned to respond to market shifts. By adhering to this disciplined framework, we aim to deliver consistent performance and safeguard investor capital in an ever-evolving market environment.

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